Trump tariffs latest: Starmer insists UK ‘ruling nothing out’ as trade war fears grow

Our data correspondent Alicja Hagopian has created this interactive map showing how countries around the globe are likely to be impacted by Donald Trump’s tariffs.

Read more details about the anticipated global impact of the looming US import taxes in this report:

The lack of clarity on which tariffs the US could impose ahead of Donald Trump’s announcement tonight is intensifying analysts’ and policymakers’ anxiety over what may lie ahead.

“I can’t recall a situation where the stakes were this high and yet the outcome was so unpredictable,” Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, told Reuters.

“The devil is going to be in the details and nobody knows the details.”

Donald Trump’s tariffs will be negative for all, the president of the European Central Bank has warned.

“It will be negative the world over and the density and the durability of the impact will vary depending on the scope, on the products targeted, on how long it lasts, on whether or not there are negotiations,” Christine Lagarde told Irish radio broadcaster Newstalk.

While Trump has suggested all nations, including the UK, will be affected, specifics remain unclear. The trade war is expected to have wide-reaching consequences on global markets, businesses, and consumers.

Independent readers have expressed concern that the tariffs will raise prices, worsen the cost-of-living crisis, and destabilise the UK economy. Some suggest that UK leaders should focus on taxing US tech giants rather than avoiding tariffs, while others warn of the historical impact of similar tariffs, like the 1930 Smoot-Hawley Tariffs.

However, a few readers see potential opportunities in the chaos, suggesting redirected trade flows and economic shifts could benefit certain industries and reduce government borrowing costs.

Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and its top business lobby warned today that looming US tariffs would have a major impact on the country’s exports and already struggling economy.

“It is clear that the introduction of new tariffs would have heavy repercussions for Italian producers”, Meloni said while hosting a prize-giving ceremony for Italian cuisine in Rome.

Meloni added that she did not rule out “adequate responses” to protect the exports of the euro zone’s third largest economy, though she did not elaborate.

Italy posted a trade surplus with the US of €39billion ($42.14 billion) in 2024, the third largest in the 20-nation euro area, Eurostat data shows.

Earlier on Wednesday, business association Confindustria said Italy’s economy would grow by 0.6 per cent this year, half the government’s official target and down from a 0.9 per cent forecast made by the group in October.

The economy expanded by a modest 0.7 per cent in both 2024 and 2023.

It eked out 0.1 per cent growth in the fourth quarter of 2024 from the previous three months, after stagnating in the third quarter. Most analysts expect no significant pick-up in the near term.

Confindustria said that while its forecasts incorporated already-announced US tariffs on steel and aluminium and what it called “record levels of uncertainty” on trade policy, they did not factor in the effects of an escalating trade war.

In a worst case scenario, with permanent 25 per cent US tariffs on all imports, rising to 60 per cent for China, and retaliatory measures against U.S. exports, Italy’s growth would fall to around 0.2 per cent this year, it said.

Sir Keir Starmer has reportedly offered big US tech companies a major tax break in a last-ditch bid to dodge Donald Trump’s damaging tariffs.

The prime minister is prepared to lower the rate of the government’s digital services tax (DST) in a bid to win concessions from the president as a global trade war looms, it has emerged.

There is reportedly a deal on the table ready to be signed, covering areas such as artificial intelligence and other future technologies. But The Guardian on Wednesday also reported the UK has offered significant changes to the DST. The move would reportedly see Britain lower the headline rate of the tax, in a major boost to major American firms such as Amazon, Facebook owner Meta and Google owner Alphabet, while at the same time applying the levy to companies from other countries.

Our political correspondent Archie Mitchell has more details:

The UK is not setting out a timeframe to seal a deal with the US that it hopes will reverse Donald Trump’s looming tariffs, Downing Street has said.

Asked about a deadline to reach an economic deal, the prime minister’s official spokesperson said: “We’re not putting a time frame on that.”

He said that business and industry groups have asked the government to “prioritise dialogue” with the US and not take a “kneejerk” reaction.

Asked about the risk of cheap goods flooding into the UK market amid a trade war and how to protect domestic industries, he pointed to the “robust trade remedies regime” that already has measures in place for the steel sector.

The government will look closely at the impact on Northern Ireland of any retaliatory tariffs imposed by the EU, the spokesperson said.

Sir Keir Starmer has said the government is “looking carefully at the details of any retaliatory tariffs announced by the EU” and how Northern Ireland could be impacted, if the US goes ahead with its plans to introduce tariffs.

DUP leader Gavin Robinson told the Commons that “most won’t have considered that in acting in the national interest, what occurs in Northern Ireland is no longer solely in his [Sir Keir’s] control”.

He asked: “Will he indicate that he is prepared to take steps to either exempt Northern Ireland from EU action, or take retaliatory action if they do not?”

The prime minister began his reply by saying “we need to be calm and pragmatic”, adding: “I think that’s what workers and businesses in Northern Ireland would want to see from this government at a time like this.

“We are, as he would expect, looking carefully at the details of any retaliatory tariffs announced by the EU if they are and what impact they might have on businesses.

“As he knows, where goods do not enter the EU, then businesses can claim a full reimbursement of any EU duties paid, but I reassure him the interests of Northern Ireland are at the forefront of our decisions.”

Sir Keir said Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds had spoken with the Northern Ireland Executive on Wednesday morning.